Interesting Non-Mainstream Statistic Shows Which Cubs and Sox Were Really Best And Worst

October 12, 2009 at 7:30 am | Baseball, Chicago Cubs, Chicago White Sox
By: Stormin' Norman Disciple

TheriotWhile Chicago tries to forget the 2009 season, some people are still analyzing it.  One such person, Wayne Winston the noted statistician, has been using a different statistic to measure a player’s value (I think its been around for a while, but no one ever listens to it because its not one of baseball’s “traditional” stats).  This statistic measures the win probability added (WPA).  That means it is measuring the amount of wins a player adds to the team over the average MLB player.  Here’s what the stats tell us about the two Chicago baseball teams:

THE BEST CUBS
Player Position WPA
Derrek Lee 1B 3.57
Angel Guzman P 2.15
Ted Lilly P 1.86
THE WORST CUBS
Player Position WPA
Geovany Soto C -0.95
Ryan Theriot SS -1.19
Mike Fontenot 2B/3B -1.82
THE BEST SOX
Player Position WPA
Matt Thorntnon P 2.85
Gavin Floyd P 2
Jim Thome DH 1.9
THE WORST SOX
Player Position WPA
Alex Rios OF -1.81
Carlos Quentin OF -2.45
Jermaine Dye OF -3.14

Quick note: No Milton Bradley. But more importantly, Theriot’s value may be far lower than we thought. His light-hitting, shaky patience at the plate, and terrible baserunning may be actually costing the team. And give Angel Guzman credit for a great season.

As for the Sox, the three worst players on the team might be there starting outfield next season. Ouch. A strange thing on both is how much of a factor middle-relievers seem to be on both sides of town. Both Thornton and Guzman were excellent this season, but interestingly enough they were extremely value.

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Comments

Comment from rex
Time October 12, 2009 at 8:27 am

How dare you say Theriot is not valuable! He’s so grindy. He’s so small. And most importantly he’s small, grindy and white.

Comment from Zoner
Time October 12, 2009 at 8:38 am

And he hits for power now!

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